[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]
#1517: Demographics of Haiti : White
From: steven white <stevelong@spyral.net>
Dear Corbeteers,
I have been studying Demography, and as a sideline I looked at the
information available on Haiti. I must say that I see some positive
trends. I did not expect to see anything like this when I accessed the
data for Haiti, but I was pleasantly surprised to see that both data for
recent years and projections for the near future indicate a decrease in
fertility. The table immediately below this text lists the vital rates
which are moving away from the traditional high mortality, high
fertility society. It would reflect not only on the success of family
planning efforts, but also on a change in the mindset of the average
Haitian, since family planning efforts have had less positive results in
areas where the population stills wants a large family size, and has
much better results where there is an 'unmet need'.
One possible future benefit could be a "demographic windfall" in which
the large number of children born a few years ago will have neither a
lot of children of their own nor a lot of older folks to care for. This
relationship of working age people to the very young and the very old is
called the dependency ratio. As this value goes down, the relative
portion of working adults is increasing. The table at the bottom of the
page is my own calculation of the dependency ratios based on the
numerical tables from the U. S. Bureau of the Census.
This information is from the web page:
http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/world.html
U.S.
Bureau of the Census, International Data Base
Table
008. Vital Rates
---------------- ---------- ---------- ---------------- ---------------
-----------
Births Deaths Net number of Rate of
natural
Country per 1,000 per 1,000 migrants per increase
Growth rate
Year population population 1,000 population (percent)
(percent)
---------------- ---------- ---------- ---------------- ---------------
-----------
Haiti
1987 44.53 18.05 -5.70
2.648 2.077
1988 42.98 17.68 -5.36
2.530 1.993
1989 41.48 17.32 -5.18
2.416 1.898
1990 40.02 16.98 -5.79
2.304 1.725
1991 38.49 16.52 -11.15
2.197 1.082
1992 37.04 16.07 -5.38
2.097 1.560
1993 35.76 15.64 -5.27
2.012 1.484
1994 34.53 15.25 -6.12
1.928 1.316
1995 34.01 14.93 -4.72
1.908 1.437
1996 33.56 14.65 -4.34
1.891 1.458
1997 33.18 14.40 -3.97
1.878 1.481
---------------- ---------- ---------- ---------------- ---------------
-----------
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, International
Data Base.
Dependency Ratios:
1987 .92
1997 .90
2000 .83
2002 .78
2007 .70