27491: Severe(reply) to post 27459: (comment) (fwd)

[Bob Corbett <corbetre@webster.edu>]

From: Constantin Severe <csevere@hotmail.com>

That at this late date we are still trying construct/deconstruct how Titid got 
shown the exit door, shows that this is going to be the Haitian equivalent of 
whether there was a single shooter in the Kennedy assassination. Chamberlain's 
friend says:

G-184 and the opposition politicians could not have agreed to a power-sharing 
deal with
Aristide without losing the support of their middle-class base, which was 
totally opposed to a        deal that would  have left Aristide in the palace.


Now, it's one thing to say that 184 and it's cavalcade of jesters and fools 
didn't pull Aristide's butt out of a sling because he was on his way out 
anyways with the capital becoming isolated from the rest of country during Feb. 
2004 and another thing entirely to say the opposition was afraid of losing 
support from the middle class. I must of missed this "middle class" support and 
the poll that measured it. What 184/Convergence were afraid of was that if 
there was some sort of power sharing agreement between Aristide and the 
opposition it would have led to elections where even a weakened Lavalas with 
Aristide at its head would have decimated the competition.

Fast forward two years and the former opposition is still afraid of elections. 
The "democratic sector" is still clueless as ever. Witness all vitriol aimed at 
Preval and by extension his supporters, it would of been one thing if Jean 
Juste had run the man is a one man verbal wrecking crew. How does the 
"political class" expect to get itself elected to anything when it insults the 
people who are supposed to be electing it.

What happened to Aristide has more than a few parallels in Haitian history, he 
saw the cards that he was dealt and overplayed. The opposition with help with 
its friends in Washington gave a little push.