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27609: Dailey (Comment) Mr. President (fwd)





Dailey

Comment

Although I don't share Madison Bell's estimate of Rene Preval's practical ability or political leadership- Naje pou Sorti seemed like an extraordinary thing for a Head of State to say- Preval's remarkable mandate gives him the best chance of any of the candidates to stay afloat during the stormy days ahead. He will be presiding over a government most of the real power of which rests in a Prime Minister representing a coalition of various parties. Within days of taking office he will be under attack from both the left- see today's Prog- and the right, and will face unrealistic expectations regarding the climate of insecurity that will continue to deter further initiatives by donor nations.

Latortue's hopes for his premiership were based on the expectation that the international community would provide hundreds of millions, much of which he intended to channel into a massive public works and employment program commencing October, 1994. What happened instead was Operation Baghdad. There was little to suggest that the donor nations would have responded with an outpouring of support had any of the other candidates been elected, and Preval obviously will be viewed with suspicion. He will have the unenviable task for the near future at least of personifying a system of managed scarcity, and defending a continuing MINUSTAH presence. As Latortue is said to have remarked recently, being the Leader of Haiti is no fun.