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#4377: Re: A comment on the elections
I think it's an interesting question. However, the answer is not in
legalities. It is rather a political issue.
We all know what the precedent is here: that in 1990, 1995 and 1997, the
procedure used now was not challenged by anyone. Many of us know as well that
precedents in English common law, take the force of law. The United States
legal system is based on British common law. So if it was truly a legal
issue, the U.S would not for instance, be alongside of those other European
nations questionning the validity of the election results, based on the
accounting of the votes.
The problem it seems to me, is that Lavalas won such an overwhelming
majority, the International Community was once again taken by surprise. Added
to this fact, is all the noise that the opposition has been making about the
Lavalas movement having hijacked the process and stolen votes.
What I think could be done in all honesty, is for the Lavalas leadership to
negotiate its way back into the process by returning some if not all of these
candidates whose victory are questionned. They still can win the same way
they have the first time. Maybe one or two may lose, the same way that they
all probably can win. But this has to be done through skillfull negotiations.
This would be good because, it would solidify the Lavalas victory even
I cannot think of any other way for the Lavalas movement, to legitimize its
victory before every one else. The opposition would hence, had to keep quiet
and look for some other "issue of the day". Otherwise, there will be for a
long time, a shadow on the leadership of the Senate that may be costly for
the Lavalas movement politically in the long run.
After all, it was the same international community that pressured Aristide
into giving up power in 1996, and not recuperating his 3 1/2 lost years. Some
thought then, that he would have been so weakened by 2000, that he'd never be
able to make a return. Look what hapenned over the last four years. Aristide
is even stronger and probably better prepared, having now conquered the
hearts and minds of many in the intelligentsia and the middle class (which is
crucial in politics). He is now poised to return to power next February. So
it is truly best at times to give in as a tactical retreat, while keeping the
focus on the long term strategy.