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27656: Durban (news): Election Projections (fwd)
From: Lance Durban <lpdurban@yahoo.com>
Corbetters:
For those of you election junkys, the CEP website has been slowly
registering the vote count. Here is a quick analysis of the raw data
that appeared on Saturday morning on the CEP website:
<http://www.cep-ht.org>
CEP Results 8 AM, 02/11 | Projections
Preval Total %Preval %Counted | Preval Total
Sud Est 40,701 81,833 49.74 76.60% | 53,134 106,832
Sud 32,506 83,631 38.87 52.36 | 62,082 159,723
Grand Anse 13,112 40,676 32.24 44.21 | 29,658 92,006
Nippes 19,307 49,956 38.65 73.33 | 26,329 68,125
Ouest 369,425 607,917 60.77 72.32 | 510,820 840,593
Central 31,340 92,532 33.87 79.42 | 39,461 116,510
Artibonite 59,526 118,767 50.12 46.92 | 126,867 253,127
Nord 45,571 87,178 52.27 44.99 | 101,291 193,772
Nord Est 19,545 52,701 37.09 68.97 | 28,338 76,411
Nord Ouest 16,017 70,368 22.76 61.05 | 26,236 115,263
------- ------- ------ ------ --------
647,050 1285,559 50.33 1004,217 2022,362
% Preval 50.33% 49.66%
Although Preval would seems to be "in" by the proverbial cat's whisker
with 50.33% percent, whether or not we will need a second round is
really too close to call. My projection at right indicates he might
fall short by a fraction of 1%.
L. Durban
P.S. Please forgive any typing errors. Numbers are retyped here from
an Excel spreadsheet. I have tried to ensure accuracy, but...